Overall Survival Prediction by Tumor Microenvironment Lymphocyte Distribution in Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation.

INTRODUCTION: Our previous research demonstrated that CD8+ cell density profiling using a hexagonal grid-based digital image analysis method provides predictors of patient outcomes after liver resection due to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Continuing our study, we have further investigated the applicability of the methodology to patients receiving a liver transplant for HCC. METHODS: The retrospective study enrolled patients with HCC who underwent liver transplantation (LT) at the Vilnius University Hospital Santaros Clinics between 2007 and 2020. We determined the density profiles of CD8+ lymphocytes at the interface between HCC and stroma and the interface between the perineoplastic liver parenchyma and stroma. Both digital image analysis and the hexagonal grid-based immunogradient method were applied to CD8+ immunohistochemistry images. Survival statistics based on clinicopathological, peripheral blood analysis, and surgical data determined the prognostic value of these indicators. RESULTS: Univariate clinicopathological predictors of worse OS after LT included: patient's age at the time of the transplantation, a higher number of HCC nodules, lower platelet count, longer activated thromboplastin time, lower serum albumin, higher serum total bilirubin, and lower serum creatinine levels. The two independent predictors of overall survival were mean CD8+ cell density at the epithelial edge of the explanted liver parenchyma-stroma interface and peripheral blood platelet count. CONCLUSIONS: Our model discloses that preoperative peripheral blood platelet count and mean CD8+ cell density at the epithelial edge of nonmalignant interface in the explanted liver parenchyma are independent predictors of OS for HCC after LT.

Endoscopic papillectomy for ampullary lesions of minor papilla.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Ampullary lesions (ALs) of the minor duodenal papilla are extremely rare. Endoscopic papillectomy (EP) is a routinely used treatment for AL of the major duodenal papilla, but the role of EP for minor AL has not been accurately studied. METHODS: We identified 20 patients with ALs of minor duodenal papilla in the multicentric database from the Endoscopic Papillectomy vs Surgical Ampullectomy vs Pancreatitcoduodenectomy for Ampullary Neoplasm study, which included 1422 EPs. We used propensity score matching (nearest-neighbor method) to match these cases with ALs of the major duodenal papilla based on age, sex, histologic subtype, and size of the lesion in a 1:2 ratio. Cohorts were compared by means of chi-square or Fisher exact test as well as Mann-Whitney U test. RESULTS: Propensity score-based matching identified a cohort of 60 (minor papilla 20, major papilla 40) patients with similar baseline characteristics. The most common histologic subtype of lesions of minor papilla was an ampullary adenoma in 12 patients (3 low-grade dysplasia and 9 high-grade dysplasia). Five patients revealed nonneoplastic lesions. Invasive cancer (T1a), adenomyoma, and neuroendocrine neoplasia were each found in 1 case. The rate of complete resection, en-bloc resection, and recurrences were similar between the groups. There were no severe adverse events after EP of lesions of minor papilla. One patient had delayed bleeding that could be treated by endoscopic hemostasis, and 2 patients showed a recurrence in surveillance endoscopy after a median follow-up of 21 months (interquartile range, 12-50 months). CONCLUSIONS: EP is safe and effective in ALs of the minor duodenal papilla. Such lesions could be managed according to guidelines for EP of major duodenal papilla.

Tailoring the Use of Central Pancreatectomy Through Prediction Models for Major Morbidity and Postoperative Diabetes: International Retrospective Multicenter Study.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a prediction model for major morbidity and endocrine dysfunction after CP which could help in tailoring the use of this procedure. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Central pancreatectomy (CP) is a parenchyma-sparing alternative to distal pancreatectomy for symptomatic benign and pre-malignant tumors in body and neck of the pancreas CP lowers the risk of new-onset diabetes and exocrine pancreatic insufficiency compared to distal pancreatectomy but it is thought to increase the risk of short-term complications including postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF). METHODS: International multicenter retrospective cohort study including patients from 51 centers in 19 countries (2010-2021). Primary endpoint was major morbidity. Secondary endpoints included POPF grade B/C, endocrine dysfunction, and the use of pancreatic enzymes. Two risk model were designed for major morbidity and endocrine dysfunction utilizing multivariable logistic regression and internal and external validation. RESULTS: 838 patients after CP were included (301 (36%) minimally invasive) and major morbidity occurred in 248 (30%) patients, POPF B/C in 365 (44%), and 30-day mortality in 4 (1%). Endocrine dysfunction in 91 patients (11%) and use of pancreatic enzymes in 108 (12%). The risk model for major morbidity included male sex, age, BMI, and ASA score≥3. The model performed acceptable with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.72(CI:0.68-0.76). The risk model for endocrine dysfunction included higher BMI and male sex and performed well (AUC:0.83 (CI:0.77-0.89)). CONCLUSIONS: The proposed risk models help in tailoring the use of CP in patients with symptomatic benign and premalignant lesions in the body and neck of the pancreas and are readily available via www.pancreascalculator.com.

Is surgical resection justified for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma with distant abdominal organ metastasis? A position paper by experts in pancreatic surgery at the Joint Meeting of the International Association of Pancreatology (IAP) & the Japan Pancreas Society (JPS) 2022 in Kyoto.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a typical refractory malignancy, and many patients have distant organ metastases at diagnosis, such as liver metastasis and peritoneal dissemination. The standard treatment for unresectable PDAC with distant organ metastasis (UR-M) is chemotherapy, but the prognosis remained poor. However, with recent dramatic developments in chemotherapy, the prognosis has gradually improved, and some patients have experienced marked shrinkage or disappearance of their metastatic lesions. With this trend, attempts have been made to resect a small number of metastases (so-called oligometastases) in combination with the primary tumor or to resect the primary and metastatic tumor in patients with a favorable response to anti-cancer treatment after a certain period of time (so-called conversion surgery). An international consensus meeting on surgical treatment for UR-M PDAC was held during the Joint Congress of the 26th Meeting of the International Association of Pancreatology (IAP) and the 53rd Annual Meeting of the Japan Pancreas Society (JPS) in Kyoto in July 2022. The presenters showed their indications for and results of surgical treatment for UR-M PDAC and discussed their advantages and disadvantages with the experts. Although these reports were limited to a small number of patients, findings suggest that these surgical treatments for patients with UR-M PDAC who have had a significant response to chemotherapy may contribute to a prognosis of prolonged survival. We hope that this article summarizing the discussion and agreements at the meeting will serve as the basis for future trials and guidelines.

Lactated Ringers Use in the First 24 Hours of Hospitalization Is Associated With Improved Outcomes in 999 Patients With Acute Pancreatitis.

INTRODUCTION: Recent pilot trials in acute pancreatitis (AP) found that lactated ringers (LR) usage may result in decreased risk of moderately severe/severe AP compared with normal saline, but their small sample sizes limit statistical power. We investigated whether LR usage is associated with improved outcomes in AP in an international multicenter prospective study. METHODS: Patients directly admitted with the diagnosis of AP were prospectively enrolled at 22 international sites between 2015 and 2018. Demographics, fluid administration, and AP severity data were collected in a standardized prospective manner to examine the association between LR and AP severity outcomes. Mixed-effects logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the direction and magnitude of the relationship between the type of fluid administered during the first 24 hours and the development of moderately severe/severe AP. RESULTS: Data from 999 patients were analyzed (mean age 51 years, female 52%, moderately severe/severe AP 24%). Usage of LR during the first 24 hours was associated with reduced odds of moderately severe/severe AP (adjusted odds ratio 0.52; P = 0.014) compared with normal saline after adjusting for region of enrollment, etiology, body mass index, and fluid volume and accounting for the variation across centers. Similar results were observed in sensitivity analyses eliminating the effects of admission organ failure, etiology, and excessive total fluid volume. DISCUSSION: LR administration in the first 24 hours of hospitalization was associated with improved AP severity. A large-scale randomized clinical trial is needed to confirm these findings.

Endoscopic and Surgical Management of Non-Metastatic Ampullary Neuroendocrine Neoplasia: A Multi-Institutional Pancreas2000/EPC Study.

INTRODUCTION: Ampullary neuroendocrine neoplasia (NEN) is rare and evidence regarding their management is scarce. This study aimed to describe clinicopathological features, management, and prognosis of ampullary NEN according to their endoscopic or surgical management. METHODS: From a multi-institutional international database, patients treated with either endoscopic papillectomy (EP), transduodenal surgical ampullectomy (TSA), or pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for ampullary NEN were included. Clinical features, post-procedure complications, and recurrences were assessed. RESULTS: 65 patients were included, 20 (30.8%) treated with EP, 19 (29.2%) with TSA, and 26 (40%) with PD. Patients were mostly asymptomatic (n = 46; 70.8%). Median tumor size was 17 mm (12-22), tumors were mostly grade 1 (70.8%) and pT2 (55.4%). Two (10%) EP resulted in severe American Society for Gastrointestinal Enterology (ASGE) adverse post-procedure complications and 10 (50%) were R0. Clavien 3-5 complications did not occur after TSA and in 4, including 1 postoperative death (15.4%) of patients after PD, with 17 (89.5%) and 26 R0 resection (100%), respectively. The pN1/2 rate was 51.9% (n = 14) after PD. Tumor size larger than 1 cm (i.e., pT stage >1) was a predictor for R1 resection (p < 0.001). Three-year overall survival and disease-free survival after EP, TSA, and PD were 92%, 68%, 92% and 92%, 85%, 73%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Management of ampullary NEN is challenging. EP should not be performed in lesions larger than 1 cm or with a endoscopic ultrasonography T stage beyond T1. Local resection by TSA seems safe and feasible for lesions without nodal involvement. PD should be preferred for larger ampullary NEN at risk of nodal metastasis.

Leiomyoma of the small bowel. A case report.

Small bowel leiomyomas are very rare tumors and originate from muscularis mucosae, longitudinal or circular muscular layers. Furthermore, leiomyomas are most common benign tumors of the small intestine. The most frequent location is jejunum. Diagnosis usually is made by CT or endoscope. Tumours can be found accidentally during autopsies or occasionally induce abdominal pain, bleeding or intestinal obstruction and must be treated surgically. To avoid recurrence, wide resection is required. KEY WORDS: Leiomyoma, Muscularis Mucosa.

Obesity and alcoholic etiology as risk factors for multisystem organ failure in acute pancreatitis: Multinational study.

BACKGROUND: Multisystem organ failure (MSOF) is the most important determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). Obesity and alcoholic etiology have been examined as potential risk factors for MSOF, but prior studies have not adequately elucidated their independent effects on the risk of MSOF. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine the adjusted effects of body mass index (BMI) and alcoholic etiology on the risk of MSOF in subjects with AP. METHODS: A prospective observational study of 22 centers from 10 countries was conducted. Patients admitted to an APPRENTICE consortium center with AP between August 2015 and January 2018 were enrolled. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the adjusted effects of BMI, etiology, and other relevant covariates on the risk of MSOF. Models were stratified by sex. RESULTS: Among 1544 AP subjects, there was a sex-dependent association between BMI and the risk of MSOF. Increasing BMI was associated with increased odds of MSOF in males (OR 1.10, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.15) but not in females (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.90-1.1). Male subjects with AP, whose BMIs were 30-34 and >35 kg/m2 , had odds ratios of 3.78 (95% CI 1.62-8.83) and 3.44 (95% CI 1.08-9.99), respectively. In females, neither higher grades of obesity nor increasing age increased the risk of MSOF. Alcoholic etiology was independently associated with increased odds of MSOF compared with non-alcohol etiologies (OR 4.17, 95% CI 2.16-8.05). CONCLUSION: Patients with alcoholic etiology and obese men (but not women) are at substantially increased risk of MSOF in AP.

Combined Femtosecond Laser Glass Microprocessing for Liver-on-Chip Device Fabrication.

Nowadays, lab-on-chip (LOC) devices are attracting more and more attention since they show vast prospects for various biomedical applications. Usually, an LOC is a small device that serves a single laboratory function. LOCs show massive potential for organ-on-chip (OOC) device manufacturing since they could allow for research on the avoidance of various diseases or the avoidance of drug testing on animals or humans. However, this technology is still under development. The dominant technique for the fabrication of such devices is molding, which is very attractive and efficient for mass production, but has many drawbacks for prototyping. This article suggests a femtosecond laser microprocessing technique for the prototyping of an OOC-type device-a liver-on-chip. We demonstrate the production of liver-on-chip devices out of glass by using femtosecond laser-based selective laser etching (SLE) and laser welding techniques. The fabricated device was tested with HepG2(GS) liver cancer cells. During the test, HepG2(GS) cells proliferated in the chip, thus showing the potential of the suggested technique for further OOC development.

The academic impact and value of an international online surgery lecture series.

Due to the worldwide travel restrictions caused by the 2019 coronavirus disease pandemic, many universities and students lost opportunities to engage in international exchange over the past 2 years. Teleconferencing systems have thus been developed to compensate for severe travel restrictions. Kansai Medical University in Japan and Vilnius University in Lithuania have a collaborative research and academic relationship. The two universities have been conducting an online joint international surgery lecture series for the medical students of both universities. Fifteen lectures were given from October 2021 to May 2022. The lectures focused on gastrointestinal surgery, gastroenterology, radiology, pathology, genetics, laboratory medicine, and organ transplantation. A survey of the attendees indicated that they were generally interested in the content and satisfied with attending this lecture series. Our efforts were successful in providing Japanese and Lithuanian medical students with the opportunity to engage in international exchange through lectures held in each other's countries.

Outcomes of rescue procedures in the management of locally recurrent ampullary tumors: A Pancreas 2000/EPC study.

BACKGROUND: Ampullary lesions are rare and can be locally treated either with endoscopic papillectomy or transduodenal surgical ampullectomy. Management of local recurrence after a first-line treatment has been poorly studied. METHODS: Patients with a local recurrence of an ampullary lesion initially treated with endoscopic papillectomy or transduodenal surgical ampullectomy were retrospectively included from a multi-institutional database (58 centers) between 2005 and 2018. RESULTS: A total of 103 patients were included, 21 (20.4%) treated with redo endoscopic papillectomy, 14 (13.6%) with transduodenal surgical ampullectomy, and 68 (66%) with pancreaticoduodenectomy. Redo endoscopic papillectomy had low morbidity with 4.8% (n = 1) severe to fatal complications and a R0 rate of 81% (n = 17). Transduodenal surgical ampullectomy and pancreaticoduodenectomy after a first procedure had a higher morbidity with Clavien III and more complications, respectively, 28.6% (n = 4) and 25% (n = 17); R0 resection rates were 85.7% (n = 12) and 92.6% (n = 63), both without statistically significant difference compared to endoscopic papillectomy (P = .1 and 0.2). Pancreaticoduodenectomy had 4.4% (n = 2) mortality. No deaths were registered after transduodenal surgical ampullectomy or endoscopic papillectomy. Recurrences treated with pancreaticoduodenectomy were more likely to be adenocarcinomas (79.4%, n = 54 vs 21.4%, n = 3 for transduodenal surgical ampullectomy and 4.8%, n = 1 for endoscopic papillectomy, P < .0001). Three-year overall survival and disease-free survival were comparable. CONCLUSION: Endoscopy is appropriate for noninvasive recurrences, with resection rate and survival outcomes comparable to surgery. Surgery applies more to invasive recurrences, with transduodenal surgical ampullectomy rather for carcinoma in situ and early cancers and pancreaticoduodenectomy for more advanced tumors.

Prognostic Value of CD8+ Lymphocytes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Perineoplastic Parenchyma Assessed by Interface Density Profiles in Liver Resection Samples.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often emerges in the setting of long-standing inflammatory liver disease. CD8 lymphocytes are involved in both the antitumoral response and hepatocyte damage in the remaining parenchyma. We investigated the dual role of CD8 lymphocytes by assessing density profiles at the interfaces of both HCC and perineoplastic liver parenchyma with surrounding stroma in whole-slide immunohistochemistry images of surgical resection samples. We applied a hexagonal grid-based digital image analysis method to sample the interface zones and compute the CD8 density profiles within them. The prognostic value of the indicators was explored in the context of clinicopathological, peripheral blood testing, and surgery data. Independent predictors of worse OS were a low standard deviation of CD8+ density along the tumor edge, high mean CD8+ density within the epithelial aspect of the perineoplastic liver-stroma interface, longer duration of surgery, a higher level of aspartate transaminase (AST), and a higher basophil count in the peripheral blood. A combined score, derived from these five independent predictors, enabled risk stratification of the patients into three prognostic categories with a 5-year OS probability of 76%, 40%, and 8%. Independent predictors of longer RFS were stage pT1, shorter duration of surgery, larger tumor size, wider tumor-free margin, and higher mean CD8+ density in the epithelial aspect of the tumor-stroma interface. We conclude that (1) our computational models reveal independent and opposite prognostic impacts of CD8+ cell densities at the interfaces of the malignant and non-malignant epithelium interfaces with the surrounding stroma; and (2) together with pathology, surgery, and laboratory data, comprehensive prognostic models can be constructed to predict patient outcomes after liver resection due to HCC.

Improving HCC Prognostic Models after Liver Resection by AI-Extracted Tissue Fiber Framework Analytics.

Despite advances in diagnostic and treatment technologies, predicting outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a challenge. Prognostic models are further obscured by the variable impact of the tumor properties and the remaining liver parenchyma, often affected by cirrhosis or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease that tend to precede HCC. This study investigated the prognostic value of reticulin and collagen microarchitecture in liver resection samples. We analyzed 105 scanned tissue sections that were stained using a Gordon and Sweet's silver impregnation protocol combined with Picric Acid-Sirius Red. A convolutional neural network was utilized to segment the red-staining collagen and black linear reticulin strands, generating a detailed map of the fiber structure within the HCC and adjacent liver tissue. Subsequent hexagonal grid subsampling coupled with automated epithelial edge detection and computational fiber morphometry provided the foundation for region-specific tissue analysis. Two penalized Cox regression models using LASSO achieved a concordance index (C-index) greater than 0.7. These models incorporated variables such as patient age, tumor multifocality, and fiber-derived features from the epithelial edge in both the tumor and liver compartments. The prognostic value at the tumor edge was derived from the reticulin structure, while collagen characteristics were significant at the epithelial edge of peritumoral liver. The prognostic performance of these models was superior to models solely reliant on conventional clinicopathologic parameters, highlighting the utility of AI-extracted microarchitectural features for the management of HCC.

Interdisciplinary Approach of Establishing PDAC Resectability: Biochemical, Radiological and NAT Regimen Prognostic Factors-Literature Review.

Background and Objectives: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains one of the most lethal tumors, with a 5-year overall survival rate of less than 10%. To date, curative surgical resection remains the only favorable option for improving patients' survival. However, there is no consensus on which prognostic biochemical, radiological markers or neoadjuvant therapy regimens would benefit patients the most. Materials and Methods: A literature review was performed focusing on overall survival, R0 resection, 30-day mortality, adverse events (AEs), and elevated biomarkers. The electronic databases were searched from 2015 to 2020. Results: We reviewed 22 independent studies. In total, 20 studies were retrospective single- or multi-center reviews, while 2 studies were prospective Phase II trials. Conclusions: Patients with borderline resectable or locally advanced PDAC, who received neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) and surgery, have significantly better survival rates. The CA 19-9 biomarker levels in the neoadjuvant setting should be evaluated and considered as a specific biomarker for tumor resectability and overall survival.

The Impact of Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition and Metformin on Pancreatic Cancer Chemoresistance: A Pathway towards Individualized Therapy.

Globally, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma remains among the most aggressive forms of neoplastic diseases, having a dismal prognostic outcome. Recent findings elucidated that epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) can play an important role in pancreatic tumorigenic processes, as it contributes to the manifestation of malignant proliferative masses, which impede adequate drug delivery. An organized literature search with PubMed, Scopus, Microsoft Academic and the Cochrane library was performed for articles published in English from 2011 to 2021 to review and summarize the latest updates and knowledge on the current understanding of EMT and its implications for tumorigenesis and chemoresistance. Furthermore, in the present paper, we investigate the recent findings on metformin as a possible neoadjuvant chemotherapy agent, which affects EMT progression and potentially provides superior oncological outcomes for PDAC patients. Our main conclusions indicate that selectively suppressing EMT in pancreatic cancer cells has a promising therapeutic utility by selectively targeting the chemotherapy-resistant sub-population of cancer stem cells, inhibiting tumor growth via EMT pathways and thereby improving remission in PDAC patients. Moreover, given that TGF-ß1-driven EMT generates the migration of tumor-initiating cells by directly linking the acquisition of abnormal cellular motility with the maintenance of tumor initiating potency, the chemoprevention of TGF-ß1-induced EMT may have promising clinical applications in the therapeutic management of PDAC outcomes.

Mirizzi Syndrome: Is There a Place for Minimally Invasive Surgery?

Objectives: Mirizzi syndrome (MS) is a condition when an impacted stone in the cystic duct or the Hartmann's pouch due to its extrinsic compression and concomitant inflammation causes an obstruction of the common bile duct. Laparotomy was the preferred surgical technique to treat this syndrome. However, with advances in technologies, an increasing number of surgeons are starting to choose minimally invasive surgery. The objective of this study is to review existing literature relating to minimally invasive surgery treatment of MS. Methods: PubMed and ClinicalKey were used to search and identify relevant articles since January 2000 to December 2020. The following keywords were applied: Mirizzi syndrome, laparoscopy, minimally invasive. The criteria for exclusion were applied: case reports with less than 2 patients, nonsurgical treatments, and reviews were excluded from this study. Results: Thirty-two articles were identified for analysis, 17 (540 patients in total) of these articles fulfilled the inclusion criteria: 8 retrospective studies, 4 case series, and 5 prospective studies. In the analyzed cohort, 295 patients were treated laparoscopically. Out of 17 articles included in the manuscript, 14 articles provided the information on minimally invasive surgery approach. There were 221 minimally invasive surgeries, out of which 143 (64.7%) were successful, thus according to the type of MS: MS I-175 (79.2%), successful 105 (60%); MS II-40 (18%), successful 32 (80%); MS III-6 (2.7%), successful 6 (100%). The mean conversion rate from laparoscopic to open surgery was 26.2% (range 0-67%), and the median complication rate in seventeen studies was 18.1% (range 0-40%), respectively. The female/male ratio was 1.2:1, and the median age in fifteen studies providing overall data on age was 57.4 years (range 40.1-70.1 years). Conclusions: Current evidence presents that open surgery remains the main treatment for MS. Minimally invasive approaches are feasible, safe, and are associated with short-term recovery, significant differences in the operation time and blood loss during operation. However, minimally invasive approaches are mainly restricted to selected patients with type I MS.

The Modified Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System Shows Distinct Trajectories in Acute Pancreatitis: An International Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The aims of this study were to: (1) assess the performance of the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) in a large intercontinental cohort of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP); and (2) investigate whether a modified PASS (mPASS) yields a similar predictive accuracy and produces distinct early trajectories between severity subgroups. METHODS: Data was prospectively collected through the Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies In Clinical Experience (APPRENTICE) consortium (2015-2018) involving 22 centers from 4 continents. AP severity was categorized per the revised Atlanta classification. PASS trajectories were compared between the three severity groups using the generalized estimating equations model. Four mPASS models were generated by modifying the morphine equivalent dose (MED), and their trajectories were compared. RESULTS: A total of 1393 subjects were enrolled (median age, 49 years; 51% males). The study cohort included 950 mild (68.2%), 315 (22.6%) moderately severe, and 128 (9.2%) severe AP. Mild cases had the lowest PASS at each study time point (all P < .001). A subset of patients with outlier admission PASS values was identified. In the outlier group, 70% of the PASS variation was attributed to the MED, and 66% of these patients were from the United States centers. Among the 4 modified models, the mPASS-1 (excluding MED from PASS) demonstrated high performance in predicting severe AP with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 (vs area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.83 in conventional PASS) and produced distinct trajectories with distinct slopes between severity subgroups (all P < .001). CONCLUSION: We propose a modified model by removing the MED component, which is easier to calculate, predicts accurately severe AP, and maintains significantly distinct early trajectories.

The relationship between pre-existing diabetes mellitus and the severity of acute pancreatitis: Report from a large international registry.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The relationship between pre-existing diabetes mellitus (DM) and acute pancreatitis (AP) severity has not been established. We assessed the impact of pre-existing DM on AP severity in an international, prospectively ascertained registry. METHODS: APPRENTICE registry prospectively enrolled 1543 AP patients from 22 centers across 4 continents (8 US, 6 Europe, 5 Latin America, 3 India) between 2015 and 2018, and collected detailed clinical information. Pre-existing DM was defined a diagnosis of DM prior to AP admission. The primary outcome was AP severity defined by the Revised Atlanta Classification (RAC). Secondary outcomes were development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) or intensive care unit (ICU) admission. RESULTS: Pre-existing DM was present in 270 (17.5%) AP patients, of whom 252 (93.3%) had type 2 DM. Patients with pre-existing DM were significantly (p < 0.05) older (55.8 ± 16 vs. 48.3 ± 18.7 years), more likely to be overweight (BMI 29.5 ± 7 vs. 27.2 ± 6.2), have hypertriglyceridemia as the etiology (15% vs. 2%) and prior AP (33 vs. 24%). Mild, moderate, and severe AP were noted in 66%, 23%, and 11% of patients, respectively. On multivariable analysis, pre-existing DM did not significantly impact AP severity assessed by the RAC (moderate-severe vs. mild AP, OR = 0.86, 95% CI 0.63-1.18; severe vs. mild-moderate AP, OR = 1.05, 95% CI, 0.67-1.63), development of SIRS, or the need for ICU admission. No interaction was noted between DM status and continent. CONCLUSION: About one in 5 patients with AP have pre-existing DM. Once confounding risk factors are considered, pre-existing DM per se is not a risk factor for severe AP.